The Bitcoin halving that occurred in April 2024 marked a major inflexion point in the cryptocurrency market. As of June 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $105,600, reflecting a strong recovery from the volatility of previous cycles and establishing a new era of institutional maturity and global relevance.
But how did we get here, and what lies ahead?
What Is a Bitcoin Halving — and Why Does It Matter?
Bitcoin undergoes a halving approximately every four years, reducing the block reward miners receive by 50%. In April 2024, this reward was slashed from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. This event is crucial because it reduces the rate at which new BTC enters circulation, tightening supply against rising or stable demand — a classic formula for price appreciation.
Historically, halvings have been followed by significant bull runs:
- 2012 Halving → BTC surged from ~$12 to over $1,000 in a year.
- 2016 Halving → BTC soared from ~$650 to nearly $20,000 by the end of 2017.
- 2020 Halving → Sparked the legendary 2021 rally to ~$69,000.
The 2024 halving has so far followed this pattern, albeit with a maturing market dynamic.
Post-Halving Performance: BTC Hits $105,600
Since the 2024 halving, Bitcoin has displayed strong upside momentum. The approval of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in the U.S. earlier in 2024 unleashed billions in institutional inflows. Major asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity facilitated easy access to Bitcoin for traditional investors, fueling a supply crunch that pushed BTC beyond the psychological barrier of $100,000.
Other key factors supporting the current $105,600 valuation include:
- Geopolitical uncertainty: As fiat currencies face inflation and macroeconomic volatility, BTC has emerged as a digital hedge.
- Rising on-chain adoption: Lightning Network expansion, increased self-custody, and real-world Bitcoin use cases are growing.
- Corporate and sovereign interest: Countries and companies are diversifying reserves by adding BTC as a long-term asset.
What’s Next? BTC’s Outlook for the Rest of 2025
Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s trajectory in the second half of 2025 will likely follow the post-halving trend of strong growth followed by consolidation. Here’s a breakdown of expected scenarios:
Bullish Case ($135,000–$180,000+)
If institutional interest continues to rise and global monetary policies remain loose, BTC could climb towards $135K–$150K by Q3–Q4 2025, potentially peaking near $180,000 during a euphoric rally. On-chain metrics such as supply held by long-term holders, decreasing exchange balances, and growing active addresses support this outlook.
Consolidation Scenario ($100,000–$120,000)
A more tempered growth phase might emerge if global interest rates rise or if regulatory concerns cool investor enthusiasm. BTC could consolidate between $100K and $120K while maintaining strong fundamental support. This would mirror previous cycles where the price cooled down before the next big move.
Macro Risks and Corrections
It’s also important to watch for external pressures like aggressive regulation, ETF outflows, or black swan macro events. While long-term fundamentals remain strong, short-term volatility is an inherent part of the crypto market.
Beyond Price: Bitcoin’s Growing Role in the Global Financial System
More than just a speculative asset, Bitcoin is increasingly becoming:
- A reserve asset for institutions and nations
- A payments rail in emerging markets
- An investment-grade asset with ETF integration
- A hedge against currency debasement
As we move through 2025, Bitcoin’s relevance will grow not only due to price movements but because of its decentralised, deflationary, and censorship-resistant design — attributes that make it uniquely positioned in an increasingly uncertain global financial environment.
Also read: How to transfer bitcoin faster in India?
Final Thoughts
At $105,600, Bitcoin is not just riding the wave of another post-halving rally — it’s maturing into a global asset class. Whether you’re a long-term holder, a first-time investor, or a business looking to embrace crypto, the trends following the 2024 halving suggest that Bitcoin’s best days may still lie ahead.
Stay informed. Stay invested. And as always, do your own research.
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Disclaimer: Crypto products are unregulated as of this date in India. They could be highly volatile. At Unocoin, we understand that there is a need to protect consumer interests, as this form of trading and investment has risks that consumers may not be aware of. To ensure that consumers who deal in crypto products are not misled, they are advised to DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
